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An Early Look with James Jordan.- Morphettville Parks July 18

Racing.com’s South Australian Form Analyst James Jordan has a look at Saturday’s Morphettville Parks meeting.

R4 Sign Of Ussuri

Going to be very hard to beat here. Last week he didn't get the tempo to suit and coming back 100m maybe wasn't ideal. He gets a good gate here, should map well and I like the blinkers off and the visor on. Currently $2.45, can't see it drifting much and will go close.

R5 Instant Celebrity

Hard to miss this filly on debut when she took a split and powered away from her rivals. She had jumped out well prior to that run and has also jumped out very well since. In her most recent jump out she handled The Brumby with ease and did it in fast time. She maps awkwardly but she looks the real deal to me. Happy to take $3.90.

R7 Aadelad

This gelding put back-to-back wins together in June of 2018 but hasn't troubled the scorer since. He's had 280 days off and I liked the look of both his jump out and recent trial. His heat was the fastest of the morning and he looked to be doing it comfortably. There's a bit of speed in this but draws a favourable gate and happy to play Each Way at the $14.

Predictions:

  • Great weather this week in Adelaide and only minor rain on raceday a possibility
  • Expecting it to race somewhere between a Good 4 and Soft 5
  • The last 8 meetings on the Parks track have favoured on-pacers or those on inside lanes
  • The last 9 meetings with rail in the True position has resulted in swoopers being disadvantaged;
  • Verdict : On-pacers favoured, hard to loop from the back.

Drifters/Lays:

R1 Sensitivity $2.40-$2.70

I think this filly will jump greater than $3.00 despite winning impressively at her past two starts. All three wins to date have come on synthetic tracks and all grass ratings are significantly lower. She's a winning hope but can't take that price.

R5 The Brumby $7.50-$8.50

This horse won impressively at Murray Bridge but subsequent jump out was only fair and draws an awkward gate. Add to that the fact that Vorster elects to ride Kahaylaan and you'll probably agree the stable have better chances in the race. It will jump double figures.

R7 Hypersonic $2.25-$2.30

Inside gate and leading stable but still have to be against him at the price. Meets an average field considering it's a metropolitan race but he was not fast away last start and could end up three-back the fence here. I've got marked clear favourite but not near the current price.

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