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An in-depth look at the UBET Adelaide Cup

With all eyes on Monday's Group 2 UBET Adelaide Cup, we take a look back at the history of past Adelaide Cup winners to try and find a winner. Using form from the last ten years, there are some definite patterns that have formed over time.

Past Adelaide Cup Winners Form Lines

Year

Winner

Last Run

Race

Track

Distance

2016

Purple Smile

3rd

BM 78

Moonee Valley

2500

2015

Tanby

5th

Torney Night Cup LR

Moonee Valley

2500

2014

Outback Joe

3rd

Roy Higgins LR

Flemington

2600

2013

Norsqui

4th

Launceston Cup G3

Launceston

2400

2012

Rialya

2nd

Lord Reims G3

Morphettville

2600

2011

Muir

3rd

Roy Higgins LR

Flemington

2600

2010

Capecover

3rd

Lord Reims G3

Morphettville

2600

2009

Zavite

1st

Launceston Cup G3

Launceston

2400

2008

Lacey Underall

5th

Lord Reims G3

Morphettville

2600

2007

Gallic

3rd

Victoria Gold Cup LR

Caulfield

2000

Last Run

No winner of the Adelaide Cup in the last ten years has finished worse than fifth in their previous run before the Cup.

There are currently 15 horses in the field for Monday’s Cup who finished in the top five in their last run.

Black Type Form

Apart from last year’s winner Purple Smile, the last nine of ten winners have come out of a Group or Listed (Black Type) Race.

Currently 15 out of the 23 horses in the field have come from a black type race, the majority out of the Group 3 Lord Reims and Listed Roy Higgins which were both run on last weekend.

Results

When we combine both above form lines, there are eight horses that tick both boxes who have run top five in a black type race. They are Chance to Dance, Master of Arts, Puccini, Mail It In, Jim’s Journey, De Little Engine, Lord Van Percy and Annus Mirabilis.

Jockey

The only jockeys in the field to have previously won the Adelaide Cup are Clare Lindop on Exalted Time in 2006 and Dean Holland on Tanby in 2015

Weight

This year there is not a large discrepancy in the weights, which should produce a really even race. Third favourite and top weight Chance to Dance will have to carry 58kg to win Monday’s edition. The last top weight to win the Adelaide Cup was Capecover in 2010 who carried only 57kg. 

Barrier

Barriers 3-9 have produced seven winners of the Cup over the past ten years which is good news for the three fancied runners in the market in Chance to Dance (3) Master of Arts (6) and Annus Mirabilis (7).

The draw was less kind to our best local hopes in Mail It In (13), Jim’s Journey (18) and Tunes (20).

State of Origin

The interstate visitors have had the upper hand over the South Australians in recent years. The Lloyd Kennewell trained Rialya was the last local horse to taste victory back in 2012.

Click here to view the UBET Adelaide Cup Market

 

2017 UBET Adelaide Cup Field

#

Form

Horse

Trainer

Jockey

Barrier

Weight

1

X450x42312

Chance to Dance

Robert Hickmott

Ben Melham

3

58kg

2

211x444481

Master of Arts

Darren Weir

Damian Lane

6

56.5kg

3

X224277792

Puccini

Wayne Walters

Ms Kate Walters

11

55.5kg

4

1132122214

Mail It In

Leon Macdonald & Andrew Gluyas

Clare Lindop

13

55.5kg

5

94517x1563

Jim’s Journey

Peter F Blanch

Dom Tourneur

18

55.5kg

6

8679445x24

De Little Engine

Danny O'Brien

Daniel Moor

22

55.5kg

7

5x67952044

Lord Van Percy

Darren Weir

Mark Zahra

23

55.5kg

8

721099x377

Mujadale

Dane Smith

Ms Nikita Beriman

5

55.5kg

9

2821292217

Tunes

Grant Young

Ms Jamie Kah

20

55.5kg

10

86750x7588

Like a Carousel

Ken Keys

Craig Newitt

16

55.5kg

11

5256x68830

Dandy Gent

Terry & Karina O'Sullivan

Dean Yendall

15

55.5kg

12

0x0x771135

Annus Mirabilis

Stuart Webb

Regan Bayliss

7

55.5kg

13

76x6532153

Chestnut Charlie

Philippe Huserot

Ms Emily Finnegan (a)

8

55.5kg

14

124x431431

Oncidium Ruler

Michael Kent

Luke Nolen

14

55.5kg

15

3423414x

Darabad

Robbie Laing

Noel Callow

1

55.5kg

16

2x90606180

Double Bluff

Robbie Laing

Joe Bowditch

2

55.5kg

17

4811136x71

Honey Steel’s Gold

David & B Hayes & T Dabernig

Jake Duffy

4

55.5kg

18

5435323x63

Bayanova

Michael Kent

Ben Allen (a)

21

55.5kg

19

21x8051320

Exalted Lightning

Rob Wilkinson

Paul Gatt

19

55.5kg

20

5x53244521

Kawabata

Jamie Edwards

Dean Holland

9

55.5kg

21e

X601193168

Anuradha

Ryan Balfour

 Damien Thornton

17

55.5kg

22e

39x3234547

Mighty Maher

Gary Searle

 

12

55.5kg

23e

3220x13555

Choysa

Wayne Walters

 

10

55.5kg

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