The rail goes back to the true position on the outer track, which should mean every horse gets its chance to win. With smallish fields, bar the last race, nearly all of the runners should be on fresh ground in the straight, with the rail coming back in from the 10-metre position.
I think it is a very tough day, particularly to find overs in the early markets. With smaller fields the bookies have a bit more percentage to play with, therefore they're less likely to make pricing errors.
For punters that like to multi up shorties, I think both Roccabascerana in Race 1 and Arty Lucas in Race 3 justify their short quotes and warrant consideration.
The biggest field of the day comes in the last race and I'm keen to go with a two-horse play:
Quiddick races very well fresh and I think she finds a winnable race here. Her trial at Morphettville was good and she looked to have a bit in hand. She'll roll forward and sit just behind the speed in a striking position. She's currently between $4.40 and $5 (bet365) and I think she'll jump around that range. I'd be having 70 per cent of my stake in the race on her.
The other horse I thought was worth backing in the race is Brimarvi Vehero. His two runs this time in were new career peaks, which tells me he's come back a much better horse this preparation. He'll drop 3.5kg on Saturday and maps to box seat on a good tempo. He'll soak up the remaining 30 per cent of stake in the race. I also think his current price range, $7 to $8.50 (Topsport), is close to where he'll land at jump time.